0Democratic
0Toss-up / unresolved
0Republican
51 for majority / 50: tie, VP decides
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Select a state on the map or use the race table below. Gray states without ratings have no scheduled race in 2028.
Last updated Nov 202634 regular Class 3 races. The 66 holdovers are 38 D, 2 I (King and Sanders, counted with D), and 26 R. Alaska's 2026 Class 2 seat counts as D: Mary Peltola declared victory over Dan Sullivan on Nov 14, 2026 (AP call pending at last check). Starting ratings assume an even national environment (R+0): each state's 2024 presidential margin compared with the nation (D+ or R+ lean). Under 1.5 points is a toss-up, 1.5 to 4 lean, 4 to 8 likely, 8+ safe. Incumbency and candidates are ignored. Flips compare with the current seat holder. Ohio uses reported special-election winner Sherrod Brown (D); Jon Husted (R) remains the seated incumbent as of this update. Florida uses Ashley Moody (R). Calls are not certifications; transition dates are unverified.
Races at a Glance
Post-2026 baseline / editable ratings
| Race | Incumbent / 2026 winner | Party | Your rating |
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Sources: Senate class directory · Senators-elect · NBC Senate results · The Downballot 2024 results by district. Methodology and full source notes. Data are a dated baseline, not a prediction. D totals include Democratic-caucusing independents where applicable.