0Democratic
0Toss-up / unresolved
0Republican
270 to win / 538 electoral votes
Click a seat to cycle through the seven ratings.
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Select a state on the map or use the race table below. Gray states without ratings have no scheduled race in 2028.
Last updated Nov 2026Baseline is the certified 2024 presidential result: D 226 and R 312 electoral votes. This is not a 2028 candidate list or forecast. The map starts with the seven 2024 battlegrounds (AZ, GA, MI, NV, NC, PA, WI) as toss-ups. Every other state starts as its 2024 winner. Flips compare each unit with its 2024 winner. 2028 uses the same electoral vote allocation as 2024. Maine and Nebraska statewide (AL) votes and each congressional district are separate controls. Statewide controls change only the two statewide electoral votes. Flips compare each allocation unit with its 2024 winner.
Races at a Glance
2024 winner / editable ratings
| Race | 2024 winner | Party | Your rating |
|---|
Sources: National Archives 2024 results · Electoral vote allocation · Maine certificate · Nebraska certificate. Methodology and full source notes. Data are a dated baseline, not a prediction. D totals include Democratic-caucusing independents where applicable.